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“You don’t plan operations like this in some safe house.”

Michael Petrou on the attacks in Mumbai


 

You don't plan operations like this in some safe house

This afternoon, the World Desk spoke with Bruce Hoffman, a professor of security studies at Georgetown University who has studied terrorism and insurgencies for more than three decades. He was formerly a scholar-in-residence at the Central Intelligence Agency, advised the Coalition Provisional Authority in Iraq, and has recently returned from Pakistan. I have written briefly about Hoffman in a previous post. I consider him an insightful source.

While cautioning that it’s still too early to draw firm conclusions about the identity of the attackers, Hoffman says the sophistication of the attacks, which required high levels of training, manpower, and logistical coordination, points to “outside planning.” The terrorists assaulted several targets simultaneously; they took and kept hostages; and they carried enough weapons and ammunition to fight for several days. Pulling this off would have required planning and practice.

“It’s not like planting a bomb,” he said. “You don’t plan operations like this in some safe house.”

Hoffman confirmed that links between Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence spy agency and local Islamist terror groups are “very close,” but noted that this doesn’t mean the ISI played a role, or even knew about, the Mumbai attacks. “It could mean that far down the road in the past, these groups got the training they needed from the ISI,” he said.

The Pakistani government, through the ISI spy agency, was behind the creation of several of South Asia’s most violent Islamist militant groups, including the Taliban in Afghanistan and Lashkar-e-Taiba in Kashmir. But the Pakistani government doesn’t necessarily control the ISI, and the ISI doesn’t necessarily control its guerilla offspring. There’s a lesson here about not sowing the wind, but it’s a little late for Pakistan to learn it now. The entire country is at risk of being torn apart by the same brand of Islamist terror that was almost certainly behind the atrocities in Mumbai.

Bruce Hoffman says he believes Pakistan’s new president, Asif Ali Zardari, is sincere in his belief to advance peace between India and Pakistan and cooperate against the Islamist militants who threaten both countries. Terrorists assassinated Zardari’s wife, Benazir Bhutto, so his motivations might be personal. He may also be enough of a realist to recognize he doesn’t have much choice.


 

“You don’t plan operations like this in some safe house.”

  1. I was watching NDTV, and one comment by one of the presenters really gave me a start.

    You know why the Indian forces took so long to take out those terrorists?

    Because a large number of them were using bolt action Lee-Enfield 303s.

    303s. First used in the Boer War.
    303s. Against Ak-47s.
    303s. And no body armor to speak of.

    OMFG.

    They just landed their flag on the moon, and they are still using a gun invented before my great grandfather was born.

    If we ever send aid to India…perhaps we could ship a few re-serviced C7s, to at least bring them into the 1990s.

  2. “sophistication of the attacks, which required high levels of training, manpower, and logistical coordination”

    I must not understand what’s involved but these kind of operations never look that sophisticated or difficult to me. Recruiting people to die would be hard but I don’t see what’s so difficult about the attack itself. Why is is difficult to get 40/50 guys to attack several locations at once? Specially if they are not planning on escape.

    I hope Asif Ali Zardari is sincere in desire to make lasting peace with India as well as India’s desire for the same. I am convinced WW III is going to start either between Pakistan/India or North/South Korea and seeing normal relations develop between Pak/India would be fantastic. Good luck to them both.

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