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Eliminating the Bradley Effect


 

In recent weeks, a lot has been made about the so-called Bradley effect. There is some dispute about the real significance of it. However, most agree that only on election day will we see the true impact of the racial factor.

It is clear that any African-American candidate vying for the presidency had to be outstanding. He had to run a near-flawless campaign and advocate for policies that resonated with large segments of the population. The latest polls would indicate that Barack Obama fits that candidate’s profile.

Characterized as a post-racial candidate and running in an election where the economy seems to trump all the other issues, there are grounds for optimism among Obama supporters. But this election has been full of surprises. John McCain is finally making a case for his view of the world rather than making personal attacks. Will it be enough and is it not too late?

McCain has run an erratic campaign and his choice of Palin has led prominent conservatives, including former Reagan chief of staff Ken Duberstein, to support Obama. All signs favour Obama 72 hours from voting day. Advance voting seems to favour the Democratic ticket, as do the issues. A victory by Obama after a well-run campaign would be seen in a very positive light within and beyond the borders of America .

So we will see on Tuesday whether there is a racial bias working against Obama. This is not to say that race is the only factor that can cause Obama to lose. It is that Obama is the one black candidate that has run the kind of campaign meant to neutralize the pernicious effects of racism. And if he succeeds, Bradley will then become a footnote in history.


 

Eliminating the Bradley Effect

  1. “This is not to say that race is the only factor that can cause Obama to lose.”

    If Americans are aware or become aware between now and election day how far left Obama is that factor will cause him to lose. He “has run the kind of campaign meant to” hide by stealth his extreme left wing views. And it looks like he’s on the verge of pulling it off.

  2. Interesting Jarrid.

    Obama is accused by,

    the far right:

    “Senator Barack Obama, who has the most liberal voting record of any current U.S. senator, is well to the left, according to all polls, of most Americans.”
    – Conrad Black
    The National Post
    November 1, 2008

    the far left:

    “it’s not that the Democrats represent public opinon, they don’t, in fact like the Republicans, they are pretty well to the right of public opinion on a host of major issues…”
    – Noam Chomesky
    The Real News
    October 20, 2008

  3. He “has run the kind of campaign meant to” hide by stealth his extreme left wing views.

    Yeah, just like Saddam hid his weapons of mass destruction.

    Do you ever stop lying, Jarrid?

  4. Noam Chomsky speaks for Joe the Plumber?

  5. Obama harbours extreme-left wing views, he’s sugar-coated them well for public consumption but his reed-thin extreme-left record is plain for all to see. He’s written an autobiography about himself even though he’s accomplished next to nothing to date. Anyway, if he wins the election, people shouldn’t be surprised if he acts on his commie views.

  6. “Noam Chomsky speaks for Joe the Plumber?”

    More than you -or Joe- will ever know, Jarrid.

  7. I guess I shouldn’t be surprised that there are Chomsky acolytes amongst the commenters around here, not surprising, but depressing nonetheless.

  8. Sing it loud, sing it proud, Jarrid.

  9. Jarrid, can’t agree with you more.

  10. Jarrid since you either ignored or missed my simplistic point, I’ll try again.

    Lefty

    Righty

  11. I can. Jarrid’s critique of Syntactic Structures was rather superficial.

  12. Aw, c’mon sf. Try harder. Surely you can agree with him more. Just apply a little of that good ol’ McCain bloody-mindedness. Man up. It’s hero time.

  13. Jarrid will have to up the ante first:

    Jarrid: “In point of fact, Obama’s a crypto-marxist islamist.”
    SF: “Oh my God, I didn’t think it was possible, but I agree with you even more now!”

  14. Necessary Illusions.

  15. You Betcha Jarrid!
    Now give me a cheeky wink – come on – you know you can!!

  16. I console myself with the thought that Americans won’t be fooled twice: this guy will get turfed after one term in office once they get to see his true colours.

  17. “So we will see on Tuesday whether there is a racial bias working against Obama.”

    So you’re saying the only reason Obama can lose is because of racist Dems? I think there are many reasons not to vote for Obama, him being a marxist rabble rouser being the best one, but lefties can never see beyond race, which is a shame.

    There have been several articles recently pointing out that ‘Bradley Effect’ was nonsense on stilts cooked up by Bradley supporters to explain their man’s loss because they couldn’t accept their man was arrogant and proposed policies that were completely out of touch with common man.

    I think Obama will win on Tues but god help the USA if he doesn’t. There are/will be so many people claiming the country is full of racists Dems even tho it is apparent to the working classes that Obama doesn’t like them or their lifestyle.

    And in all this talk of Bradley Effect, why don’t journalists ever talk about the 95% of blacks who will be voting Obama. Do you think there would be an article or two if 95% of whites were voting for a white candidate?

  18. jwl, that doesn’t make sense. 100% of white voters have, up to now, voted for a white candidate for president. Not really much of a story there so far.

    What will be interesting is if in several decades there comes along a white candidate for the first time in several decades. Then you could have a story.

  19. Jenn

    Absolutely correct. Should have written my sentence better.

    I was saying if 95% of white people voted for a white candidate in a race between a white person and an ethnic minority, the media would be all over it saying ‘racism, racism’ but when it’s black people voting for black candidate, it’s barely mentioned.

  20. “And in all this talk of Bradley Effect, why don’t journalists ever talk about the 95% of blacks who will be voting Obama. Do you think there would be an article or two if 95% of whites were voting for a white candidate?”

    As usual, jwl stumbles upon the *real* story – racist blacks who won’t vote for John McCain just because he’s white.

  21. This leaves you in a better position when it comes to stealth. Stealth with the kind of Saturday , November 1 , 2008 are valued at negative one.

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