New poll shows Conservatives pulling ahead - Macleans.ca
 

New poll shows Conservatives pulling ahead

Tories regain 5-point lead over the Liberals


 

The latest EKOS poll shows the Conservatives pulling further ahead of the Liberals, who are now nearly five points back of the Tories. Support for the Conservatives now stands at 32.5 per cent, with the Liberals at 27.9 per cent. Meanwhile, the NDP is at 17.4 per cent, the Green Party at 10.3 per cent and the Bloc Québécois at 9.2 per cent support. Despite their inability to close a gap that had shrunk to slightly more than a point in the last poll, the Liberals are making significant in-roads with university-educated voters, increasing their support by more than eight points to 34.4 per cent. Overall, 50.4 per cent of Canadians believe the country is moving in the right direction and 44 per cent approve of the job the federal government is doing.

CBC News


 
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New poll shows Conservatives pulling ahead

  1. What?!? No comments yet?? Where are Wells, Coyne and the boyz to 'splain the nuances of this outrageous outcome?? I guess that all the university edumacated expert elites are on holidays this week? I am not a big believer in polls, but when a Liberal shill pollster even has you pulling away…I think it is safe to assume that the 'census debacle' has whithered on the vine. Now the entire Macleans staff will have to think about all that wasted ink from the summer…

  2. It must drive certain "writers" at Macleans crazy that all of their best efforts to boost the Liberals over the Conservatives can not seem to come to fruition.
    It's amazing to me that, given the consistently negative and sometimes even made-up (Wafergate, anyone?) media campaigns against it, that the Conservative Party polls as consistently well as it does.
    You would think some of the mud that the leftist media is constantly splattering at the party would stick, but Canadians, to their credit, are continuing to form their own opinions based on their own observations of the party's record, rather than on the shrill pronunciations of elitist hacks.

    • "It's amazing to me that, given the consistently negative and sometimes even made-up (Wafergate, anyone?) media campaigns against it, that the Conservative Party polls as consistently well as it does."

      …consistently under 34% which, I would suggest, is their ceiling. They may have a lock on minority government because of disarray among a fragmented opposition, but we may be (thankfully) be spared a Tory majority as long as Harper is their king.

  3. Where's Emily…..Cat got your tongue Emily.
    The fact is this poll is not really about the Conservatives. It is about Ignatieff and the Liberals. Despite the torqued headlines, columinsts suggesting the country is being destroyed with elimination of a mandatory census the Conservatives remain in the lead.
    Ignatieff continues on his bus trip trying to generate some interest in him and the party but neither are going anywhere in a hurry.
    So it must be disappointing to the Liberals and their supporters in the media when Canadians ignore them and continue to support the government.

    • Don't worry, that shrill partisan harpy will show up before long. Anything positive about Harper and Co. can not be allowed to stand in her poisoned and warped world.

    • If it's all about the Liberals, how come the Cons can't leverage themselves above their own abysmal numbers. As you might suggest, they have no competent opposition, so what's in their way?

      • brooster….. even though the Harper haters want it tobe it is not always about the Conservatives. Harper has the job and as long as the opposition is weak there will be no non confidence vote in the House as it takes all three to agree at the same time.
        It is Michael Ignatieff who wants the job. With his leadership poll numbers and the party polling at 27 points there is no way they can win even a minority.
        So let me be clear for you. Harper has the job and Ignatieff wants it. Thats why it is all about the failings of Ignatieff's leadership and the moribund Liberal party. Read it and weep.

      • "…they have no competent opposition, so what's in their way?" Let's see: Harper; Clement; Flaherty;…

  4. According to the threehundredeight.blogspot.com website, this EKOS poll is virtually unchanged from the last one:

    August 5: CPC 31.6, Liberals 26.8, NDP 17.3, Bloc 10.4, Green 11
    August 19: CPC 32.5, Liberals 27.9, NDP 17.4, Bloc 9.2, Green 10.3

    Not a significant difference, though both the Conservatives and Liberals are up. The consensus of recent polls is that the CPC has a slight lead, but nowhere near majority territory.

    What's interesting from the EKOS poll is the projected seat total: Conservatives 123, Liberals 100, Bloc 49, NDP 36. This would give the Liberals and NDP more seats than the Conservatives, for those who hope for or loathe the possibility of a Liberal/NDP coalition government.

    • No yet, wait until they are back to Parliament.

    • Have you looked into any bias from the site your cited?

      What political party does the author support? Is the bias tied to a Quebec centric version? Are the Liberals-Separatist natural allies?

      Based on actual Bills getting Royal Assent and 30 Liberal Mps being whipped to skip votes that might cause an election how do the Conservatives not have a majority?

      See Jack and Gilles they claim Liberals are too weak to force an election.

      Dexter said premiers can't allow the narrow interests of their own provinces to get in the way of what is good for other regions and the country. http://www.thechronicleherald.ca/NovaScotia/11972

      "The reality is that when good things happen for Quebec, it is seen as a triumph of federalism. But when good things can happen for other regions, they are seen as an affront for Quebec, and that just cannot be the case," Dexter said. "For them to try and stand in the way of something that would be of great benefit to our region, I think, defeats the very reason for our existence as a federated country."

      But the QLP constantly claims that the Canada Act is illegitimate, that Quebec “is not in the Constitution,” and that the patriation is an open sore, rejected by the entire National Assembly. Quebec, aggrieved, is above the law. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/the-

      Pandering to Quebec Politicians is bad for National Unity http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN0917530420100

  5. Some of the shifts concerning where support is coming from are fascinating in this poll.

  6. would not surprise me considering poor showing of Libs and NDP leaders! the reason that Harper is having a romp despite minor election support.

  7. Hmmm…still awfully quiet in here. I guess PM Harper's plan to 'silence' the opposition is working. It's funny how the pinko commies come out to play when they percieve they smell blood in the water, then scurry back under their rocks when things don't go their way. I guess Macleans' editorial staff is busy down at McGee's thumb sucking and trying to dream up a new 'scandal' for the ages.

    Have one for me boyz…

    • The poll suggests that those with higher education are moving away from the Tories. Maybe they're ignoring your puerile gloating here, as well, because they're looking for discourse with intelligent life forms.

      • Boy, you really hate those high school diploma types eh? Next time you call a plumber, be sure to be real snotty like that…they will appreciate your honesty.

        • Actually, my plumber is capable of far more engaging discussion than the juvenile taunting you started this thread with…'nuff said.

        • I like plumbers. For plumbing. But actually a simpleton can do most plumbing jobs. Not efficiently but effectively. But I would not listen to plumber on anything else. Why listen to a guy whose best three years was grade 8?

  8. Another poll? What a non-issue. Get a life.

    • HA! I seem to remember more interest in polls a few weeks ago.

  9. I think it's funny that 44% approve of the job that the government's doing, but they only have 32.5% of the popular vote. I wonder what accounts for a disparity like that.

    Re: the discussion here: It's understandable why left-wing voters would be discouraged by this poll (though it's not particularly significant), but I'm really unclear as to what reasons right-wingers would have for gloating. The only leader in their party (i.e. there's no one else in the CPC other than Harper who seems like they're anywhere near ready to take the reigns, at least no one with a reasonable chance of winning more popular support) can't seem to poll much higher than the low to mid 30's despite having an opposition that is weak and divided.

    A lot has been made of the problems facing the Liberal Party (a lot of it true), but I think that the same holds for the Conservatives: they have some serious internal and policy issues that are killing them at the polls, issues that seem to be deep-rooted. I think that there must be Conservative party members who realize that they're not going to get a majority with Harper and Co. in control of the party, but there's no real alternative. The Harperites seem to have complete control over the party, and it would be very difficult for another faction to make a smooth transition to power.

    I'm personally guessing that the alliance of right-wingers that makes up the CPC isn't going to last much past Harper's tenure, but I may well be wrong. It will be interesting to watch.

    • Re: the discussion here: It's understandable why left-wing voters would be discouraged by this poll (though it's not particularly significant), but I'm really unclear as to what reasons right-wingers would have for gloating. The only leader in their party (i.e. there's no one else in the CPC other than Harper who seems like they're anywhere near ready to take the reigns, at least no one with a reasonable chance of winning more popular support) can't seem to poll much higher than the low to mid 30's despite having an opposition that is weak and divided.

      This.

      Considering the shambles that is the opposition, I am constantly astonished that the Conservatives aren't in majority territory. And, I think it should be noted that holding a bare minority against that kind of competition isn't something to gloat about.

      I think it shows that a large enough percentage of people are still mad at the Liberals . But what happens when people forgive and forget? It will happen eventually. And unless they can show that they're somehow different from the Liberals – which I haven't seen yet – what makes them think that they aren't going to get relegated back to perpetual opposition?

  10. And, another thing:

    What do you people get out of the Conservatives being the government? Aside from the occasional issue, they appear to be less conservative than the Chretien Liberals – who I'm sure you hated. And, just as transparent and accountable (which is to say, not either of those things).

    So if the Conservatives aren't really conservative, why the circle jerk?

    • If the Conservatives are essentially the Chretien Liberals, why are Liberal supporters so upset about them being the government? There should be peace and harmony throughout the land.

      • I agree. Which is what I find so baffling. If the Conservatives are basically Liberals with a punishment fetish, why don't centrists / Liberal supporters support the Conservatives?

        This is what's wrong with our system. People are so busy supporting their horse that they don't seem to give a …. which direction the track is heading.

        • Because I hated the Chretien Liberals as well? Of course, I haven't really liked any party since Jim Harris left the leadership of the Greens.

  11. Way to go Harper, stick to your princples, Iggy is out RVing go figure!