BUMPED – ONLY 11 HOURS LEFT: So it’s come to this … a seat projection thread.


 

Welcome to the First-and-Hopefully-Last-For-At-Least-A-Few-Months Official ITQ Seat Projection Thread!

Amaze your friends!

Aggravate your enemies!

The rules are simple:

  • Predictions can be posted anytime before Monday night at 6p.m.
  • If you normally use Anon as a handle, add a number or some other sort of modifier so your prescience can be celebrated, if warranted.
  • If your final projection includes Independents, you must specify the name of riding/candidate
  • Please try to avoid hijacking the projection thread for endless partisan back-and-forth – there are plenty of other places on macleans.ca for that
  • Oh, and this is strictly for seat projections, not guesses on the share of the popular vote, or the spread – sorry, Kody.

The winner(s) will be determined by some sort of complex formula that I’ll let someone else figure out, since I’m not a math person, and the prize will be bragging rights, or something from Colleague Feschuk’s seemingly bottomless drawer of random stuff, if he feels like sharing.

With that … let the guessing game begin!

NOTE TO READERS: This was originally posted way back on Thursday night, but due to operator error, it never made it to ITQ, and wound up spending the last two days in macleans.ca limbo. Sorry about that.

UPDATE: In case y’all are curious about the press gallery’s collective wisdom, here’s a breakdown of the entries in the legendary Hot Room seat projection pool, courtesy of CanWest’s David Akin – who is a very, very brave man for posting his entry, and as such, inspired ITQ to do the same in his comment thread.  (I do, however, reserve the right to tweak those numbers ever so slightly, if necessary, when I finally post my best guess here.)

PREDICTION TIP IN UPDATE FORMAT:

A tip, for those of you still mulling over your choices: I just checked the spreadsheet for last year’s Hot Room pool, and the two most accurate prediction sites were Democratic Space and the Election Prediction Project. Democratic Space was just four seats over the final count for the Conservatives – 128 predicted versus 124 actual) but underestimated the Liberal result by nine seats – 84 predicted, 103 won.

The Election Prediction Project, on the other hand, was nearly bang on for the Liberals with a prediction of 104 seats, although that did include David Emerson’s seat. Honestly, though, who could have seen that coming? Anyway, its prediction was also six seats shy of the final Conservative number, so it might be helpful to keep all that in mind this time around.

UPDATE: And we’re closed for business … as of 9 p.m. Good luck to all! I’ll post an update on the formula for determining a winner tomorrow, and I promise it will be fairer, richer, gree- wait, cancel that. It will be fair, anyway. Happy election eve, all!


 

BUMPED – ONLY 11 HOURS LEFT: So it’s come to this … a seat projection thread.

  1. a friendly piece of advice to those who haven’t done this before,

    wait ’till the last minute.

    If Harper’s caught with a k of crack and some extra special bling on Sunday night,

    you’re gonna kick yourself for not waiting.

  2. Sorry Kady, I care too much about my fellow politicos to not share these basic rules of the road.

    (note to self, I fear my eeeeeeevil moniker is fading, must restart my lord-of-darkishness)

  3. Conservatives 132

    Liberals 94

    Bloc 45

    NDP 35

    Green 0

    Indy 2 (Casey and Arthur)

  4. Con 110
    Lib 110
    BQ 51
    NDP 35
    Green 0
    Independent 2 – Bill Casey, Andre Arthur

  5. What happens if we post more than once, Ms. O’Malley?

  6. I predict that after the election, the Left will still think the Right is evil and the Right will still think the Left is stupid.

  7. kady,

    you can erase comments. Could you erase all the non numerical predictions so that double-posting dorks like kody don’t run away with the thread.

    Erase this one too, please.

  8. Cons 126
    Lib 98
    NDP 35
    Bloc 45
    Green 1
    Ind 1

    In my pool we just add up all the differences to the actual results and lowest score wins. We also use % of total turnout as a tie-breaker(for giggles, I think it’s going to be a brutal 59%).

  9. Cons 122
    Lib 99
    BQ 48
    NDP 34
    Green 1
    Ind 2

  10. At dissolution we had:

    Cons 127
    Libs 95
    BQ 48
    NDP 30
    Green 1
    IND 3 (Arthur, Casey and Thibault)
    VAC 4

    My super-scientific prediction process suggests the end result will be:

    Cons 127 (-)
    Libs 95 (-)
    BQ 48 (-)
    NDP 34 (+4)
    Green 1 (-)
    IND 3 (Arthur, Casey and Thibault)

    What an incredibly pointless waste of time and money.

    (Okay, Thibault isn’t going to win.)

  11. My prediction is this:

    The Canadian public doesn’t want to think about what is important. They want to think along party lines, just as the people of the US (perhaps, not for much longer) want to think along party lines.

    The people of Canada tend to think that by flip-flopping between two parties that always screw up, that when they “flip-flop back” that things will change. When things don’t change, rather than going to the party who is actually talking about real concerns, and who actually might have the INTENTION to do anything positive for the people of Canada, the people will immediately flip-flop back to the party that they just flip-flopped FROM before re-selecting the party that they flip-flopped to in the last election.

    My prediction is that we’ll simply go back to another imbecilic Liberal government, and the cycle will repeat itself, once more, to the further detriment of Canada, the economy, and the future of the people therein.

    I do not believe that, when confronted with a gun pointed directly between their eyes, that the Canadian people–as a general rule–can even be bothered to save their own lives, even if given the chance to do so.

    Our government sold off all out gold and silver reserves, and now our currency is backed by the same high-grade AIR that the US dollar is backed by. People said nothing. People did nothing. People continue to do nothing. People continue to ignore the problem. People simply can’t be bothered to think about it, as it doesn’t concern them…but wait…what’s this? The stock market is crashing AGAIN?

    Luckily for the people of the US and Canada, their pensions are safe. The’re locked away in mutual funds and stocks and…wait a minute…if the stock market crashes and wipes out the stocks, that in turn wipes out the mutual funds, and this begs the question “what exactly are those pensions worth?” So we see that our pensions are NOT safe, so OBVIOUSLY people would be suprred to action by the thought of losing everything they spent their life working towards, right?

    NOPE! Our right to healthy food is gone, and we do nothing. Our right to contest the government’s actions against the people is gone, and we do nothing. Our right to own the property that we BELIEVE we purchased–by spending hundreds of times more than it’s actual value–has never legally been ours…and yet again, we do nothing.

    The people complain “it’s the government…we can’t do anythiing to stop it…we have no power over the government.” All that means is that you’re too damned LAZY TO THINK FOR YOURSELVES!

    Turn on the game…watch a few big sweaty men tap eachother on the ass and “get the snap” and everything will all work out for the best…isn’t that the way the world is supposed to work?

    Face it people…if you can’t be bothered to even think for yourselves, you ARE going to get what you deserve, and it will be in direct proportion to the amount of time you spent protecting your rights, your interests, your investments, and, in the end, your lives.

    Good luck, folks…I’m voting GREEN this time around, ebcause I see that we need MAJOR and SUBSTANTIVE CHANGE. We can NOT waste more time screwing about with more Liberal->Conservative->Liberal->Conservative flip-flopping when we already know with massive historical references that this will do absolutely nothing to bebefit the country, the economy, or the people of Canada.

    Wake up and smell the coffee…or you might not have any coffee to smell in the very near future!

    PS: If we continue on the path that George Bush and Steven Harper have set for Canada and the US, we WILL have a North American Union, and we will NOT have sovereignty of our country, or of our persons. You can’t be bothered to seek out the truth…you deserve what you get.

  12. I’m also predicting that I’ll vote Green.

  13. Liberal 92 CPC 128 NDP 36 Bloc 50 Ind Arthur & Casey

  14. Completely unscientific. Mostly depends on what happens in Ontario with highly volatile vote allocations.

    CPC 117
    Liberal 104
    NDP 35
    BQ 50
    Ind 2 (Casey/Arthur)

  15. Provincial breakdown follows national results.

    Cons: 97
    Lib: 121
    NDP: 33
    BQ: 56
    Ind: 2 (Arthur, Casey)

    NL (7)
    Lib: 6
    NDP: 1

    NS (11)
    Lib: 6
    Cons: 2
    NDP: 2
    Ind: 1 (Casey)

    NB (10)
    Lib: 6
    Cons: 3
    NDP: 1

    PEI (4)
    Lib: 4

    QC (75)
    Bloc: 56
    Lib: 13
    Cons: 3
    NDP: 2
    Ind: 1 (Arthur)

    ON (106)
    Lib: 69
    Cons: 25
    NDP: 12

    MB (14)
    Cons: 8
    NDP: 4
    Lib: 2

    SK (14)
    Cons: 11
    Lib: 2
    NDP: 1

    AB (28)
    Cons: 28

    BC (36)
    Cons: 14
    Lib: 10
    NDP: 10

    YK (1)
    Lib

    NT (1)
    NDP

    NU (1)
    Lib

  16. Whoops…wrong math.

    Cons: 97
    Lib: 120
    NDP: 33
    BQ: 56
    Ind: 2 (Arthur, Casey)

  17. CPC 140
    LPC 82
    NDP 39
    BQ 45
    Ind 2 (Arthur & Casey)
    Green 0

  18. Here’s hoping:

    CPC 142
    LPC 78
    NDP 42
    BQ 44
    Ind 2 (Arthur/Casey)

  19. I’m saving my magic points for the February race.

  20. ‘Ere we go:

    CPC: 135
    LPC: 86
    BQ: 49
    NDP: 36
    IND: 2 (Arthur + Casey)

  21. cpc 129
    lpc 89
    bq 44
    ndp 44
    ind 2 (arthur/casey)

  22. CPC: 131
    LPC: 97
    BQ: 48
    NDP: 30
    GPC: 0
    IND: 2

    Prediction based on right-hand / left-hand axis of approx. 321 degrees (NNW) on 12 October 2008. Initially two sparrows appeared, but they made no sound; a loon (unidentified) called after c. 20 seconds, and finally a hawk swooped in from the left, rising slowly.

  23. CPC 121
    Libs 101
    Bloc 54
    NDP 30
    Green 1
    Independent 1

    the question then to be posed – can you trust a Prime minister who breaks his election law – squanders $100 million (or whatever the cost is) to finish up with exactly the same “unworkable” parliament as he had going in…

  24. Conservatives…….135
    Liberals……………..81
    BQ…………………..52
    NDP…………………36
    Independent………..2 (Casey/Arthur)
    Greens……………….2

  25. Sorry Kady – didn’t read the fine print as usual –

    Independent – Casey!

  26. Also in the fine print – if you look very very closely – First prize is – dinner somewhere inside the Queensway – with the P of P herself!

  27. Conservatives: 145
    Liberals: 71
    NDP: 38
    Bloc: 52
    Green: 0
    Independent: 2

    ***

    I’d thought the Tories were going to eke out a majority this time. Quebec told us otherwise… Then I thought that Harper might just lose this thing outright, when polls closed to four points between the CPC and the Liberals, with 12 points for the Greens.

    Now…

  28. My wild guess:

    Cons: 114
    Liberal: 96
    Bar BQ: 54
    NDP: 42
    Green: 0
    Ind: 2

    If I win, I want an elephant.

  29. Ind: Casey and the independent guy running against Uppal in Edmonton

  30. CPC 144

    LPC 69

    NDP 42

    Bloc 47

    GPC 1

    Ind 2 (Casey/Arthur)

  31. Here’s something for you to puzzle on…
    Who are Nik Nanos’ Undecideds?
    I have a theory…
    A significant number of them are the disaffected Cretien Liberals (of the 18-19% that Nik keeps showing us – maybe one third or 6-7%) – like me – who sat on their hands when Martin ran his campaign into the ground – or at least – worked last time for candidates who were good people and not Martinites…
    but – if the Liberal candidate planted in their riding was one of said Martinites – stayed home on election day.
    I suspect that Dion and his team have demonstrated enough – especially bringing out Sheila Copps and Cretien himself in the last couple of days – that sitting on hands will not be an option for those folks (well – except maybe for Kinsella) – so – my prediction is – expect the Liberal percentages to actually swing up by several percentage points on election day due to this influence…

  32. Cons 125
    Libs 98
    BQ 50
    NDP 32
    Green 1
    IND 2 (Arthur, Casey)

  33. Oop…in my post from Friday morning I neglected to name the independents. Here are my predictions again, with the independent winners named.

    Cons 122
    Lib 99
    BQ 48
    NDP 34
    Green 1
    Ind 2 – Bill Casey, Andre Arthur

  34. Here is best guess

    Cons 141
    Libs 72
    Bloc 51
    NDP 41
    Green 1
    Ind 2 (Casey and Arthur)

    This result will make for an incredibly ineresting parliament, it is predicated on NDP vote holding strong in Ontario that wins some seats and drives splits for tories. Bloc prevents Tories from majority…oh that and ticking off Bill Casey.

  35. 6:00 PM, in what time zone?

  36. Oh, re the rules — my independents are Casey and Arthur.

    Oops.

  37. My prediction is:
    Cons:156,Lib’s:59, NDP: 40, Bloc: 49, Gr.:2,
    Ind.: 2 (casey&Arthur)

  38. You know what – I’ll make it 9pm EST. I don’t want to be accused of being unfair to West Coasters.

  39. Cons 121
    Libs 103
    Bloc 48
    NdP 34
    Ind 2 (Portneuf -Arthur, Nova Scotia -Casey)

  40. My revenge at last! In your face, King!

    Cons 156
    Libs 71
    Bloc 46
    NdP 33
    Ind 2 (quebec; nova scotia)

  41. con 155
    lib 69
    ndp 37
    bloc 45
    green 0
    ind 2

  42. Con 117
    Lib 103
    NDP 32
    Green 0
    Bloc 55
    Other 1 (Casey)

  43. Ah, forgot my IND note: Casey / Arthur, to be sure.

  44. You may have to take this into account:

    Police in Quebec City are investigating the disappearance of three ballot boxes from an advance poll held early last week in a city riding. Media reports Saturday also said the seals had been broken on some of the [other] boxes.
    http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/10/12/ballots-missing.html

  45. Con 124
    Lib 96
    NDP 36
    Green 0
    Bloc 51
    Other 1

    Cost: 300 million
    Result: Jack Layton gets 6 new seats.

  46. Conservatives 134
    Liberals 90
    Bloc Québécois 56
    New Democratic Party 37
    Green Party 1

  47. Woops.

    Conservatives 134
    Liberals 80
    Bloc Québécos 56
    New Democratic Party 37
    Green Party 1

  48. Oh Drats. I forgot Independents.

    Forget this.

  49. Cons: 116
    Libs: 104
    NDP: 34
    Bloc: 52
    Greens: 1
    Ind: 1 (Casey)

  50. Here is my dream: Liberal majority

    Here is my prediction:

    Con – 122
    Lib – 93
    NDP – 41
    Bloc – 51
    Ind – 2
    Green – 0

    I still believe that dreams can come true!

  51. Oh – the independents are Casey and Harvey.

  52. Libs 105
    Cons 103
    Bloc 53
    NDP 43
    Green 2
    Independents 2 (Arthur&Casey)

  53. Sorry make that last post “Andrew M in Calgary” as there is at least another Andrew on here.

    Libs 105
    Cons 103
    Bloc 53
    NDP 43
    Green 2
    Independents 2 (Arthur&Casey)

  54. Arthur M., you spelt Meighen wrong. However, I do agree that Harper is the modern incarnation of Arthur Meighen.

    My predictions (much different from those in Calgarygrit’s tie-breaker):

    Total
    CPC: 127
    LPC: 86
    NDP: 40
    BQ: 54
    Ind: 2 Andre Arthur, Loyola Hearn

    Ontario
    Cons: 46
    Libs: 44
    NDP: 16

    Quebec
    Cons: 5
    LPC: 14
    BQ: 54
    NDP: 1
    Ind: 1 (Andre Arthur)

    New Brunswick:
    Cons: 5
    LPC: 4
    NDP: 1

    Nova Scotia
    Cons 2
    LPC: 7
    NDP: 2
    ind: 1 (Hearn)

    PEI
    LPC: 4

    NFLD
    LPC: 6
    NDP: 1

    BC
    CPC: 20
    LPC: 4
    NDP: 12

    AB
    CPC: 27
    NDP: 1

    SK
    NDP: 1
    LPC: 1
    CPC: 12

    MB
    CPC: 9
    NDP: 4
    LPC: 1

    North
    LPC: 1
    CPC: 1
    NDP: 1

  55. CPC – 124
    LPC – 90
    NDP – 40
    BQ – 52
    GPC – 0
    IND – 2 (Casey and Arthur)

  56. My guess:

    Independent – 1 (Andre Arthur)
    GPC – 0
    BQ – 47
    NDP – 38
    LPC – 83
    CPC – 139

    Best before date: March 2011 (i.e. next election)

  57. CPC – 163
    Lib – 62
    NDP – 38
    Bloc – 44
    Ind – 1
    Green – nada

    Yes, you read that right.

  58. Dangit I mean Casey not Hearn.

  59. CON – 117
    LIB – 95
    NDP – 40
    BQ – 51
    GRN – 2
    IND – 3 (Casey, Arthur, and James Ford in Edmonton-Sherwood Park)

    I’m probably being overly optimistic (which is sad, given how much I’d hate that result), particularly with regard to Ford and at least one of the Green seats. But man, won’t I look like a genius if I’m right. Besides, with just about everyone predicting a CPC minority, I’ve got to set myself apart somehow, and predicting something other than a CPC minority doesn’t seem like a very sensible way to do it.

    Oh, and one of those 40 NDP seats is Edmonton Strathcona.

  60. Cons. – 123
    Libs – 93
    Bloc – 53
    NDP – 36
    Green – 1
    Ind. – 2

  61. Here’s my prediction.

    Cons 141
    Libs 76
    NDP 38
    Bloc 50
    Ind 2
    Green 1 (not Central Nova)

  62. Is there something I am missing?
    You wrote “underestimated the Liberal result by nine seats – 84 predicted, 103 won.”
    I think the difference is 19 seats, not nine.
    Has arithmetic changed that much!!?

  63. Cons: 133
    Libs: 92
    Dpers: 33
    Greens: 0
    Bloc: 47
    Ind: 3

  64. Anonymous Predictions

    Ind — 2 (Andre, Bill)
    Green — 1
    NDP — 26
    Bloc — 50
    Liberals — 114
    Conservatives — 115

  65. Con: 124
    Lib: 96
    Bloc: 51
    NDP: 37
    Ind: 2 (Casey, Arthur)

  66. Strategic voting will alter the seat counts enough to cause net loss of seats in this election for the tories despite superior support. My estimate is as follows (the green win is in geulph)
    Cons 115 Lib 94 BQ 51 NDP 45 IND 2 Green 1
    dont put those election signs to far into storage as with the economy where it is we will be doing this again same time next year

  67. okay, I have money on a Conservative majority on the UBC election stock market, so I assume the Conservatives pick up seats in BC, the 905, and keep what they have and pick up a few in Quebec. (this may explain why my RRSP and other investments do so poorly…)

    Conservatives: 157
    Liberals: 76
    NDP: 31
    Bloc: 43
    Ind: 2 (Casey N.S. and Artur Queb.)

  68. I suppose having a prediction that adds up to 308 will help:

    CPC 144

    LPC 69

    NDP 45

    BQ 47

    GPC 1

    Ind 2 (Casey Arthur)

  69. CP: 130
    LP: 87
    BQ: 51
    NDP: 38
    Ind: 2

  70. Prediction

    CPC Wins = Canada Doomed in 3 years, 20 years to recover.

  71. Cons 127

    Libs 92

    NDP 35

    Bloc 52

    Ind 2 (Casey & Arthur)

    Good luck all, and enjoy following the results tomorrow night!

  72. Cons 127

    Libs 91

    NDP 35

    Bloc 52

    Ind 2 (Casey & Arthur)

    Grn 1

  73. If this were a week ago, I’d have predicted a Liberal win for sure, but now I’ll say…

    Conservative 115
    Liberal 110
    Bloc 54
    NDP 29
    Ind 1 (Casey)

  74. For what it’s worth, La Presse had a poll by Segma this weekend: Tories 35%, Libs 23%.

    Kady, not sure if you care to post these results, but just think of the title possibilities you can have with Segma!

  75. Conservatives 118
    Liberals 102
    Bloc Q 50
    NDP 36
    Independants 2 (Casey and Arthur)

    and the Habs win the Cup in 6 against Detroit

  76. Conservatives: 148
    Liberals: 76
    Bloc: 39
    NDP: 43
    Other: 2 (Casey/Andre)

  77. CPC – 123
    LPC – 99
    NDP – 31
    BQ – 51
    GPC – 0
    IND – 2
    (Arthur, Casey)

  78. Conservatives: 138
    Liberals: 75
    Bloc: 50
    NDP: 43
    Other: 2

  79. CPC: 132
    LPC: 91
    NDP: 32
    BQ: 51
    Ind: 2 (Casey, Arthur)

  80. my brainless throw out numbers pulling stuff out of thin air with no basis in fact not a really a prediction but a contest entry is….

    Conservatives: 105
    Liberals: 99
    NDP: 34
    Bloc Québecois: 66
    Green: 2
    Independent: 2

  81. CPC: 120

    L: 104

    BQ: 51

    NDP: 31

    Indy Kids: 2 (Casey; Arthur)

    GP: 0

  82. CPC: 134
    L: 84
    NDP: 39
    BQ: 49
    IND: 2
    GP: 0

  83. My prediction:

    CPC: 142

    LPC: 76

    NDP: 42

    BQ: 48

  84. C 118
    L 100
    N 35
    B 53
    I 2 (Casey, Arthur)

    In my predicted scenario, Casey plus a disappointed Layton will still have enough to prop up Harper.

  85. CPC – 135
    LPC – 86
    BQ – 50
    NDP – 35
    Ind – 2

  86. CPC – 140
    LPC – 83
    NDP – 35
    BQ – 48
    GP – 0
    Ind – 2

  87. If we vote smart:

    Conservative 67
    Liberal 128
    NDP 50
    Green 1
    Bloc 60
    IND 2

  88. Conservatives – 109
    Liberals – 101
    BQ – 60
    NDP – 35
    Greens – 1
    Independents – 2 (Casey, Arthur)

  89. National:
    Lib: 93
    Con: 108
    NDP: 52
    BQ: 51
    Green: 2
    Independants:
    Casey, Andre, Schmidt

    Newfoundland:
    Lib: 5
    NDP: 2

    PEI:
    Lib 4

    Nova Scotia:
    Lib: 6
    Con: 1
    NDP: 3
    Ind: 1 (Casey)
    (Sorry Elizabeth)

    New Brunswick:
    Lib: 5
    Con: 2
    NDP: 3

    Quebec:
    Lib: 13
    Con: 11
    B.Q.: 51
    Ind: 1 (Andre)

    Ontario:
    Lib: 50
    Con: 37
    NDP: 19

    Manitoba:
    Lib: 3
    Con: 7
    NDP: 4

    Saskatchewan:
    Lib: 3
    Con: 10
    NDP: 1

    Alberta:
    Con: 26
    NDP: 1
    Ind: 1 (Schmidt – Calgary West – please, please, please, not Anders)

    B.C.:
    Lib: 3
    Con: 14
    Green: 1
    NDP: 18

    Yukon:
    Lib: 1

    N.W.T:
    NDP: 1

    Nunavut:
    Green: 1

  90. Conservatives – 138
    Liberals – 85
    BQ – 48
    NDP – 35
    Green – 0
    Independents – 2 (Casey, Arthur)

    Conservatives will take over half of Ontario’s seats, but little in Québec.
    NDP will get all of Northern Ontario’s seats, plus 3 in Toronto.
    Liberals will not take more than 5 seats south of 60° west of Ontario.

  91. CPC – 141
    Liberals – 78
    NDP – 35
    Bloc – 52
    Green – 0
    Independent – 2 (Arthur, Casey)

  92. CPC – 147
    Liberal – 81
    NDP – 28
    Bloc – 50
    Independent – 2 (Arthur and Casey)

  93. 130 Cons
    105 Lib
    42 Bloc
    28 NDP
    2 Indep.
    1 Green

  94. Fascists 121

    Crooks 96

    Commies 35

    Traitors 54

    Hippies 0

    Other 2

  95. What was the question again?

  96. Conservatives 144

    Liberals 79

    Bloc Quebecois 49

    NDP 34

    Other 2

    (Arthur in Quebec and Casey in Nova Scotia)

  97. Cons: 130
    Libs: 90
    NDP: 35
    Bloc: 51
    Greens: 0
    Independents: 2

  98. Con: 118
    Lib: 94
    NDP: 40
    Bloc: 53
    Green: 1
    Ind: 2 (Arthur, Casey)

  99. Cons 124

    Libs 92

    NDP 38

    Bloc 52

    Ind 2 (Casey & Arthur)

  100. Con 137
    Lib 77
    Bloc 52
    NDP 40
    Ind 2 (Arthur, Casey)

  101. Asshats – 125
    Sages – 88
    Destroyers of the Economy – 41
    Destroyers of the Country – 54
    Elizabeth May – 1

  102. Er, that should be “Destroyers of the Economy – 40”

    not 41.

    Sorry.

  103. Paranoid Liars 1 (+123 yes-men)
    Hapless Nerds 1 (+94 backstabbers)
    Economic and Environmental Sabotageurs 36
    Eternal Whiners 51
    Others 2 (Arthur, Casey)

  104. Cons – 175

    Libs – 56

    Bloc – 53

    Ndp – 22

    Ind – 2
    Green – 0

  105. Pr___C___L___N___B__G__I
    ————————
    NL___1___4___2__________
    PE___2___2______________
    NS___2___5___3______0__1
    NB___7___2___1__________
    QC___7__11___4__52_____1
    ON__45__34__27__________
    MB___9___1___4__________
    SK__10___1___3__________
    AB__27_______1__________
    BC__18___2__16__________
    NU___________1__________
    NT___________1__________
    YT_______1______________
    ————————
    CA_128__63__63__52__0__2

    Con: 126
    Lib: 63
    NDP: 63
    BlQ: 52
    Grn: 0
    Ind: 2 – Casey, Arthur

    The Liberals are going to lose seats in Ontario that all the prediction models don’t catch, I believe.

    Numbers like these would make for a very interesting Parliament …

  106. CPC: 136
    LPC: 85
    NDP: 34
    BQ: 52
    GRN: 0
    Oth: 2

  107. Woops that should be CPC: 135

  108. Con: 128 (not 126, that was a typo; the table stands)
    Lib: 63
    NDP: 63
    BlQ: 52
    Grn: 0
    Ind: 2 – Casey, Arthur

    Sorry about that.

  109. C – 127
    L – 75
    N – 52
    B – 52
    I – 1 (Arthur and Casey)

  110. Of course, I meant 2 indies

  111. Lib – 107
    Con – 105
    BQ – 55
    NDP – 39
    GRN – 1
    OTH – 1

  112. Atlantic
    Con 8
    Lib 18
    NDP 5
    Ind 1

    Quebec
    BQ 52
    Con 8
    Lib 13
    NDP 1
    Ind 1

    Ontario
    Con 48
    Lib 41
    NDP 17

    Prairies
    Con 48
    Lib 2
    NDP 6

    BC
    Con 23
    Lib 3
    NDP 10

    North
    Con 1
    Lib 1
    NDP 1

    Total
    Con 136
    Lib 78
    BQ 52
    NDP 40
    Ind 2 (Casey, Arthur)

  113. CPC 136
    Lib 84
    Bloc 49
    NDP 37
    Ind 2 (Bill Casey and Andre Arthur)

  114. Con gains in Ontario (4) & BC (6) are largely offset by losses in Saskatchewan (2 to NDP), Quebec (4 to BQ) & Maritimes (2 to NDP, 1 to Lib), while Libs lose seats to both Cons & NDP (only Lib gains are St. John’s South-Mount Pearl, Ahuntsic, Papineau, & Saanich-Gulf Islands).

    Con – 127
    Lib – 87
    BQ – 52
    NDP – 40
    Ind. – 2 (Casey & Arthur)

  115. Con 137
    Lib 80
    Bloc 49
    NDP 40
    Ind 2
    Green 0

  116. Slightly tweaked from my gallery entry:

    129
    91
    53
    33
    2 (Arthur, Casey)