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There will be an election this May: conventional wisdom

Government would have to be defeated on March 22 budget to get the electoral ball rolling


 

Speculation about a possible spring election is coalescing around May 2 or 9 as the probable dates Canadians could get called to the polls. The timeline is premised on Finance Minister Jim Flaherty delivering a federal budget March 22, and confidence vote on that budget taking place on March 24. The opposition parties would then, of course, have to vote down the Conservative budget, and force the dissolution of the government before launching an election campaign. Should everything happen according to the above plan, the current Conservative minority government will have lasted 2.5 years in power.

Ottawa Citizen


 
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There will be an election this May: conventional wisdom

  1. The way politicians have been behaving, it seems we have election 365 days/year!

  2. File this under… well duh… I think the "Liberal"/Separatist/Media smear jobs and manufactured hysterical, "scandals" we've witnessed the last year were probably a good indicator that the coalition was about to force an election.

  3. If so then hopefully the corrupt Liberals and NDP will put some adult candidates forward instead of the grown children they usually do. Retiring Jack Layton would be a very good start, he has absolutely zero accomplishments as a politician except for getting himself elected.

  4. Jack was not aware of said plan for the election in May. He may just have put that one to bed until next year.

  5. As a rule, I don't pass along these "add your name" lists BUT this one is important. It has been circulating for months and has been sent to over 20 million people. To show your support for Liberal (ha, ha, ha) Michael Ignatieff please go to the end of this list and add your name.
    1. Mrs. Ignatieff
    2.

    • As a rule, I don't pass along these "add your name" lists BUT this one is important. It has been circulating for months and has been sent to over 20 million people. To show your support for Liberal (ha, ha, ha) Michael Ignatieff please go to the end of this list and add your name.
      1. Mrs. Ignatieff
      2. Ignatieff housekeeper
      3.

  6. Liberal Michael Ignoramus ‘is going to vote against the budget without seeing it' … and Iggy has the audacity to think he can become PM of Canada? What is he voting against in the budget? Iggy may think he is a high-brow, but in fact is a low-brow thinker to make an important financial budget decision without ever reading its contents. What a pompous and arrogant jerk! The next sound you hear will be Iggy's political career being flushed down the toilet!

  7. An election will not happen, because it is not in the strategic interests of enough of the relevant actors.
    -The Liberals would gain seats, but not enough for them to hold onto their unelected 64 year-old leader
    -The NDP stands to lose a large number of seats
    -The Tories stand to maintain the status quo, or lose a few seats (possibly beginning the race to succeed Harper)
    -The Bloc will probably neither gain nor lose from an election

    The NDP will be very willing to take a deal, and Harper will be moderately willing to offer them one. If that fails, Michael Ignatieff may also be hesitant to hold an election, because he likely does not want to blow his one shot at this. Even barring that, Harper may be able to get the Bloc to support the budget with a sweet enough deal.

    For an election to happen, all of the opposition parties must want one OR the Tories must want one badly enough to propose a budget the opposition could never support (or to call for an election).

  8. We will have an election when Harper thinks he can win a majority. He will make sure that at least one other party will support him until that time.

  9. Harpie will not call an election before Prince Andrew & Katie marries. He wants to Cdn media to showcase him.

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