Threshold for Quebec secession actually less than 50 per cent in NDP bill

OTTAWA – Depending on how many showed up to vote, fewer than half of Quebec’s eligible voters could trigger the breakup of the country if the NDP’s proposed rules for another independence referendum were to be adopted.

The party has drawn criticism for insisting that a bare majority of 50 per cent plus one vote should be sufficient to trigger negotiations on Quebec secession.

But the threshold is actually lower than that due to the NDP’s deliberate decision not to take voter turnout into account.

Toronto MP Craig Scott, author of the party’s proposed “unity bill,” says 50-plus-one would apply regardless of how many Quebecers actually turned out to cast ballots.

He doubts voter turnout on such a momentous question would be a problem, noting that 94 per cent of Quebecers cast ballots in the 1995 referendum.

But even with 94 per cent turnout, a bare majority would translate into only 47 per cent of eligible voters deciding the fate of the country.




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Threshold for Quebec secession actually less than 50 per cent in NDP bill

  1. Make that “a bare majority would translate into only 47 per cent of eligible voters in Quebec deciding the fate of [Canada].”

  2. On the one hand: a win of 50%+1 would represent a win by a coin toss. If any of weather conditions, vacation schedules, incapacitating accidents, etc, etc were different on voting day, the result could just as easily have been 50%-1. A win of 50%+1 does not represent a thirst for one’s own country.

    OTOH: the upcoming Scottish referendum has me thinking. Perhaps requiring 50%+1 along with the simple question “Should Quebec be an independent country” is reasonable.

    I dunno.

  3. Has there ever been any real discussion about the Canadian citizenship of the people of the independent country of Quebec should a “yes” win result in Quebec secession?

    Is the intention that the country of Quebec would have 8 million citizens, the vast majority of which would also be Canadian citizens?

  4. None of this matters,Le Republique du Quebec will be proclaimed the evening of the referendum……..just like Rhodesia in 1965……UDI.

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