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Welcome to the age of the despot

Every tyrant has now learned the Syrian lesson: you can bomb your cities and kill with impunity. How the West failed so horribly.


 
A man carries a boy after the Syrian regime forces airstrikes targeted over Aleppo's opposition controlled Kellese district, Syria on July 09, 2016. At least 5 people wounded in the airstrike. (Ibrahim Ebu Leys/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)

A man carries a boy after the Syrian regime forces airstrikes targeted over Aleppo’s opposition controlled Kellese district, Syria on July 09, 2016. At least 5 people wounded in the airstrike. (Ibrahim Ebu Leys/Anadolu Agency/Getty Images)

“Aleppo is now a synonym for hell,” is the way outgoing UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon described the merciless bombardments and massacres that the Russians, Assadists and Shia militias were inflicting upon the last major stronghold of the fractured and hopeless Syrian rebels last Friday. Five years after Syria’s quixotic, non-violent democratic uprising began, nearly half a million deaths, more than five million refugees, and it had all come to this.

“We have collectively failed the people of Syria,” Ban declared at his farewell press conference at the UN headquarters in New York. “Peace will only prevail when it is accompanied by compassion, justice and accountability for the abominable crimes we have seen.”

There’s not much hope for any of that, anytime soon, no matter what fresh horror Islamic State mutates into, whether it’s crushed in the Battle of Mosul or not. Islamic State was never the main culprit in the dismemberment of Syria. It was always the Syrian mass murderer, Bashar Assad.

You can bomb your own cities to rubble, commit crimes against humanity, and wholly uproot the majority ethnic population of your own country. Assad got away with it. Russia’s Vladimir Putin got away with it. Hezbollah got away with it, and Tehran’s Qasem Soleimani, head of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps Quds Force, got away with it.

And all over the world, every tinpot tyrant has learned the Syrian lesson. You can get away with it. A United Nations commission of inquiry can declare you guilty of undertaking “a state policy of extermination of the civilian population” of your country, and you can laugh it off, and for any of these “abominable” crimes to be headed off in the dark years to come, the rest of us are going to need to stop telling ourselves comforting lies about “Western intervention.” Entire political careers and the most stellar reputations in journalism have been built around these tawdry, self-exculpating deceptions. They may be ineradicable, but some honest effort should be put into enumerating them and rooting them out.

We might start by admitting that it’s not all George W. Bush’s fault. It’s an idiotic claim, but it is deeply embedded in all the alibis and excuses that have paralyzed the NATO capitals in the face of the Syrian catastrophe. And Syria’s death throes are not over yet, not by a long shot.

Whatever the jollies we’ve all enjoyed at Bush’s expense, the Anglo-American misadventure in Mesopotamia was more than 13 years ago. The heaps of Syrian dead have grown far more than twice as high in half the time that it took the 2003-13 butcher’s bill from Shock and Awe to come due. The Iraqi invasion did not precipitate Syria’s implosion. Even if it did, that would not excuse anyone, least of all the United States, for the determined indifference that has left the Syrian people to their hideous fate.

Saddam had already slaughtered at least a million people by the time Bush showed up—by war, by poison gas in the genocidal Al-Anfal campaign against the Kurds, by his ethnic cleansing of the Marsh Arabs, by torture and by firing squad. If you think Iraq and Syria would be better off today if Saddam had been left unmolested in Baghdad, there’s something wrong with you.

Iraq was largely at peace and the Anbar uprising had succeeded in uprooting al-Qaeda by 2011, but Barack Obama decided to betray the Sunni minority and give the run of the place to Nouri al-Maliki, the sectarian Shiite gangster handpicked by the Quds Force’s Qasem Soleimani, last seen in public only last weekend, strutting around Aleppo, victorious.

The next favourite pretext for letting Syria die is Afghanistan, the “quagmire.” It’s a country still bruised and battered from the years of mass murder and mayhem preceding 9/11, but a decade’s worth of opinion polling among Afghans following the 2001 ouster of the lunatic Taliban emirate never showed anything less than unambiguous support for the NATO-led, United Nations’ International Security Assistance Force mission that chased the hated Talibs back into Pakistan. They’re still blowing things up. But Afghanistan limps along. The country’s democratically elected president, the economist Ashraf Ghani, was ranked 50th on Foreign Policy magazine’s 2013 roll of the world’s 100 leading intellectuals. Syria should be so lucky.

Okay then, Libya.

It is conveniently forgotten that the United States did not overthrow the government of deranged strongman Moammar Gadhafi. The Libyan people did. They rose up in their hundreds of thousands, and it was only after Gadhafi threatened mass slaughter of his citizens that Europe and the Arab League countries dragged the United States into enforcing a no-fly zone that crippled the Libyan air force. A year after the 2011 intervention, even after Obama pushed NATO into walking away from Libya, a Gallup poll found 75 per cent of Libyans backed the NATO air operation. Half the Libyans surveyed (54 per cent) said they approved of the Obama administration, even, “among the highest approval Gallup has recorded in the Middle East and North Africa region outside of Israel,” Gallup reported.

Libya is a failed state, with an internationally recognized “national unity” government that barely governs beyond Tripoli and two national armies with separate blocs of militias united only in their commitment to protecting the re-emerging oil industry and cleaning out the pockets of Islamic State that have set in, as you’d expect, like gangrene. And yet, compared to Syria, Libya is a peaceable kingdom.

Oh, but Syria. Fiendishly complicated. No good guys, and “there’s nothing we could have done” now substitutes for “there’s nothing we can do.” The “we” in that lie is always intended to mean “the Americans.” The record of lost American opportunities and unmade decisions speaks loudly enough for itself.

A no-fly zone before the Russians got involved. Accelerated arming of patriotic and democratic rebel groups instead of letting freelance Gulf State Islamists fill the blanks. A swift and punishing rain of drone strikes after Assad crossed Obama’s professed “red line” on the use of poison gas. Supplying the early Free Syrian Army units with anti-aircraft weapons to shoot down Assad’s barrel bombers. A green light to the CIA’s proposed long-game overthrow of the Assad regime. No, Obama said. No. I’m smarter than everyone here.

Leon Panetta, Obama’s CIA director and later Secretary of Defence, broke with Obama over Syria and walked away. Michael McFaul, Obama’s former ambassador to Russia, calls Obama’s abandonment of Syria and his absurd trust in the Russians a “giant failure.” Robert C. Hof, the senior State Department Syria analyst, resigned in despair. Obama’s Syria ambassador, Robert Ford, resigned in disgust. Even Hillary Clinton broke with him on Syria.

By the time Donald Trump came along, Obama’s inner circle on Syria had been emptied so thoroughly that his closest confidante was Ben Rhodes, Deputy National Security Adviser for Strategic Communications. A public-relations man with a creative writing degree.

It was never about what the United States could have done. It was about what Obama would not do, and he would not do anything to upset the Khomeinists in Tehran. Hurt their feelings enough and they’d pull Iran out of Obama’s “legacy” foreign policy of nuclear rapprochement. The whole thing has been a failure, from beginning to end.

The lessons the world’s despots can take from this are as clear as crystal. And if there is any doubt, along comes Donald Trump, the president-elect, to clear it up: “We will stop looking to topple regimes and overthrow governments, folks.” You can get away with anything now.

What, then, would you do about all this? What would you do about Syria? There’s only one sensible and honest answer: we stop lying about what we have done, and what we have failed to do.

We start there.


 

Welcome to the age of the despot

  1. what a load of utter tripe

    you seriously think that the american army wading into syria is going to improve the situation ?

    stop giving advanced weapons to the head chopping , heart eating aleppo terrorists and the war will soon be over

    assad is far more popular with his electorate than any of the western leaders could ever dream of , deal with it

  2. “It is conveniently forgotten that the United States did not overthrow the government of deranged strongman Moammar Gadhafi.” – This is a complete lie.

    Gaddafi was on the verge crushing the Islamist uprising in his country before NATO intervened. Without NATO Libya wouldn’t currently be a failed state and would still enjoy the highest standard of living in all of Africa, comparable to the UK.

    The author is utterly deranged, listing failure after failure of US intervention then claiming that same clearly abysmal approach should’ve been used in Syria… In addition to recommending anti-aircraft weapons be given to the terrorist “rebels” (Al-Qaeda, various Islamic groups), because the author is still ignorant as to how well things work out when you supply American weaponry to Islamic terrorists…

  3. “patriotic and democratic rebel groups” – where they to be found, please?

    One reads in less-biased sources that Assad may be the least bad of the alternatives to try to govern Syria.

    Canadians who want the USA to do what Canadians are nationally unwilling to do have little standing with me.

  4. In a different era, Orson Welles summarized American foreign policy as follows “the United States wanted to play Texas Ranger to the world”. It seems that in modern times, this is a general expectation i.e. that a country with 3.4% of the world’s population should be global sheriff. This article seems to assume that Syria is the only currently ongoing disaster … not even close; however, it’s interesting how much media focus feeds on itself.
    The reality is that massive armed conflicts feed on money and weapons and there is seemingly an endless supply of each. Worse, weapons seem to be a free handout that the 5-minute strategists (like this article’s author) endorse as a quick fix: just find the right bunch to give the weapons to! Many of the undesirable forces operating today have found an easy way to make money in the event that someone isn’t just going to give it to them: sell stuff, anything ranging from oil to diamonds, gold or drugs. The interesting thing is how many countries are willing to buy possibly forgetting that if no one gives them weapons they can always buy them; worse, selling weapons is a business that many countries including and especially the super powers. Given that a lot of the perpetrators are warlords and gangsters, the presumed ‘political solution’ doesn’t work either.

  5. There are exactly two left-leaning members of the commentariat, in this country, who are worth paying attention to. Terry Glavin is one of them, and this piece should be required reading for every Obama fan-boy out there.
    Obama reminds me of all the so-called “intellectuals” that I know, who look down their noses at the race car that I built, maintain, and run from skill sets that I taught myself, yet are wholly incapable of grasping some of the engineering and physics concepts that underpin any one of a dozen aspects of the piece.
    In spite of his “vast intellect”, Obama is unable to grasp that the projection of American power overseas is what keeps the Constitution safe within America’s borders. Instead, he’s continually promoted the idea of reducing America’s influence. He seems wholly unable to grasp the full meaning of that. There will always be a most powerful nation, and if not America, who? Great Britain is out of the running, as are the only other choices that are not really bad choices; France or Germany. That leaves Russia, China, and Iran.
    Good luck with that. Look how well it’s turned out so far. Worse, the misery we will be obligated to endure just to hold those three in check over the coming decade will be a direct result of President Barack Hussein Obama’s efforts to withdraw America from the world stage.

  6. Obama has bombed far more people to death directly (and indirectly through proxies, see Yemen) than anyone in the last decade. Obama has legitimately extrajudicial drone warfare, even against American civilians.

    Monkey see. Monkey do.

    Obama’s (and Hillary’s) failed foreign policy has led to chaos in Libya and North Africa, in Iraq, in Syria, in Yemen, in Ukraine.

    Obama and Hillary got fully into bed with the ruling radical Islamists of Saudi Arabia and set the world on fire.

  7. What a load of BS. First, it is the US that early on entered the Syrian civil war along with are allies Turkey, an autocratic Sunni Islamic regime that is getting more and more repressive each day, and Saudi Arabia, an extremely repressive Sunni Islamic regime. This war has always been about religion with goal of the opposition to impose a repressive Sunni Islamic regime to replace the current Syrian regime which allowed freedom of religion. Second, Syria has long been a Russian client and only the amateurs, Obama, Hillary and Kerry, did not understand that Russia would come to the Syrians defense. Third, the same fools did understand the nature of the Muslim religious schism that ensured that Iran and Hezbollah would join in the Syrian war, Finally, ISIS became a problem when our allies brought in 5,000 to 10,000 central Asian Jihadists, paid for by Saudi Arabia, traveling through Turkey and probably with the blessing of the Obama regime. As an aside, our government has been silent on the brutal assault by Saudi Arabia on the Shia majority in Yemen that is trying to free itself from its minority Sunni rulers. It will also be interesting to see how our government and the media react as the siege of Mosul grows deadlier.

  8. What a pathetic piece of neo-con propaganda. ” We shouldn’t blame Bush, the Iraq adventure was a whole 13 years ago!” Really!? Thirteen years is a very short time in history and it is the toppling of Hussein in Iraq and Gadhafi in Libya that created ISIL. The only way out of this is to do what Russia is doing; support the Assad government. Its not a savoury choice but it is the only choice since it is next to impossible tell the difference between ISIL and all the other groups operating in Syria. If western countries had given it any real thought, they would have supported Assad in getting rid of ISIL in exchange for promises of reforms afterwards. Now it looks like Russia has stepped into the vaccuum and they will have the influence when the situation stabilizes.

  9. The West failed so horribly because there was no leadership in sight to deal with the problem. Especially from the guy that won the Nobel Peace Prize for nothing. That did they do instead? They armed the terrorists, and labeled them ‘moderate rebels’, because “Assad had to go!”

    They didn’t even bother to make the case to the American people, as to why Assad had to go. Therefore, no one bothered to question the fallacy of what they were doing, which was really no better than what Bush did in Iraq. So now, all the liberals can do, is clutch their pearls, and engage in sad, limp wristed Russophobia, while real leadership stepped onto the plate, and started getting it done – because everyone else was too politically correct, and too cowardly, to be willing to do what clearly had to be done!

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