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“A pro-war vote that makes us the slaves of oilmen”


 

Sounds great! Where do I sign up?

Welcome to the rather attention-grabbing world of the NDP’s new Quebec ad.


 

“A pro-war vote that makes us the slaves of oilmen”

  1. Meanwhile, the Canadian Press,

    masquerading as impartial purveyors of fact rather than the agenda journos they really are, describes the verbal gaff of a staffer thusly:

    “On a day when Stephen Harper strolled peacefully through a vineyard, the earth around him was being scorched again.”

    Hear that, its as if Harper’s flesh was burning off his skin as we speak.

    Balance.

  2. No word yet on whether a Liberal MP and candidate officially supporting a low life drug dealer (in writing on Parliament letterhead),

    will also be equated with Hell on Earth for the Liberals.

    Likely not, given that story is now days old, was in a single paper in Vancouver (and then deeply buried on the back pages).

    Balance.

  3. The NDP ad brought to my mind that old Mark Steyn line: well, that’s certainly why I’m voting for them…

    Good ad though. It does what “soldiers in our cities” tried to do, only it does it well.

  4. It’s to the point and seems effective. The EKOS poll out today shows the NDP at 19 behind the Libs at 26 and the Cons at 37. With Dion’s bumbling campaign, and if this ad’s any indication, the NDP on it’s game, the race for second place overall could soon become competitive.

  5. I like these ads by the NDP, slick and hip… then Jack Layton appears at the end.

    Kody, you were almost on topic.

  6. I agree it’ll be effective, especially in Quebec.

    Aesthetically it reminds me of the ferociously anti-Bush Eminem video from 2004, Mosh. One of the all-time great political videos, IMHO.

    Love that tank column. Who knew we were going to refight the Battle of Kursk?

  7. I don’t think there is any air in those sails given:

    1. Bush is retiring, won’t be president, and hasn’t been heard from much in the past year.

    Just compare him to McCain, Obama and Clinton since January 2008:

    http://www.google.com/trends?q=barack+obama%2C+george+bush%2C+hillary+clinton%2C+john+mccain&ctab=0&geo=all&date=2008&sort=0

    2. Harper just announced a 2011 withdrawal from Afghanistan, the main issue driving the Harper = Bush meme.

    3. I don’t think anti-Americanism pulls the same chords in Quebec as it does in English Canada. Quebec anti-Americanism has always been much more tactical (and linked to their anti-Anglo sentiments as well), while English Canada is shrill and emotional – drummed up by our loyalist roots.

    I would submit the 1988 federal election as a good case study. In a referendum on free trade, the ultimate America-loving policy, Mulroney won 53-30, taking 63 seats. Lest you attribute this to Turner’s political inadequacies, he actually did better in Quebec in 1984 (50-35, seats: 58-17). By contrast, Turner pulled Ontario into a tie, and won all four maritime provinces by strong margins (he had lost all of those handily before).

  8. I think the ad is one of the best I’ve ever seen from Canada – up there with “there’s just one line I want to erase from the deal” Turner ad in 88.

    Its really artsy / avant-gardiste which will appeal to the folks who drink coffee from bowls in Laurier Street cafes. They still go big for the whole Bush-Harper-Satan axis of evil stuff.

    NDP should be congratulated. And ending with Jack in the NDP Sun is brilliant. Its a real re-introduction of the guy.

  9. (ps. savaging the Tories this way in Quebec doesn’t hurt Tores.)

  10. I thought their English ad was in bad taste (both the Harper-as-W and Layton-as-Obama aspects).

    This is outright disgusting.

  11. “The NDP ad brought to my mind that old Mark Steyn line: well, that’s certainly why I’m voting for them…”

    I always like the Harper of attack ads more myself (especially the Harper = Mike Harris ones) – but I think you may actually be onto something in Quebec.

    In a 4-way election, Harper just needs to galvanize 30-35% of Quebec behind him, and he can do quite well (incidentally the collapse of the Bloc might benefit the NDP most) – having similar support levels to the Bloc.

    In English Canada, maybe 45% of voters at most form the potential pool for a centre-right Conservative party. I wonder if attack ads on Harper in Quebec (not necessarily this one) may actually help him hold together the base he needs to do well in Quebec.

    http://www.lifecanada.org/html/resources/polling/2007PollReport.pdf

    In 2007 Environics conducted a poll for lifesite (Environics is a respected pollster that, regardless of their customer, I wouldn’t think likely to fudge numbers).

    They don’t have detailed regional breakdowns, but lets look at Bloc voters (who are a left-leaning sample, representing a “hard test”).

    54% disagreed that abortion should always be covered publicly.

    71% of Bloc supporters favoured making it a separate crime to kill a foetus.

    http://www.nanosresearch.com/library/polls/POLNAT-S03-T120.pdf

    This Nanos poll (from 2003) found 40% of folks in Quebec opposed gay marriage.

    http://www.nanosresearch.com/news/press_releases/PR%20February%2020%202003.pdf

    This poll found 30% of Quebeckers viewed Canada’s overseas roll as peacekeeping and combat. Only 22% favoured Canada going along with unilateral American action in Iraq – low numbers, but not much lower than what the Conservatives need to win Quebec in a 4-way race.

    So, in a sense, it is really the Liberals and Bloc that have no political home in a post-unity debate Quebec (apart from Montreal Island and Lac St. Jean, respectively).

  12. Ti-Guy: “Was there a wardrobe malfunction? Did we get a fleeting glimpse of Jack’s left nipple?”

    Nothing like that, but the moustache was very prominent. I mean, think of the children.

  13. chucker’s right.

    everyone else here is wrong.

    thank you,

    the management

  14. I dunno, kody & chuckercanuck, Quebeckers are pretty darn pacifist. There were protests when the Van Doos were deployed last year. My sense is that support for the Tories is based on domestic factors, the “Nation” resolution, the rhetoric about the “fiscal imbalance,” and devolution. Plus the weakness of Duceppe and Dion. I don’t think they’re winning any votes on Afghanistan, except negatively with the flip-flop on withdrawal.

    I’m curious which ridings the NDP thinks it can win. I’d have thought they would also be targeting the Bloc, if those are urban Montreal ridings (i.e. the ones with lots of leftists).

    This is a cool election.

  15. The NDP will make significant gains in this election,

    and particularly in Quebec.

    The seperatist/federalist divide is in its final stages, being replaced by the traditional left/right divide.

    The Liberal brand in Quebec was bad before, but crumbling under Dion.

    Layton’s wisely filling the void.

  16. while English Canada is shrill and emotional – drummed up by our loyalist roots.

    Shrill? I thought it was smug. Can you be both at the same time?

    Apparently.

    Or even better, to use a recent Americanism whilst simultaneously being shrill and smugly superior,

    YES WE CAN!

  17. Jack, as best as I can tell, the NDP thinks it has chances in Westmount, Jeanne-Le Ber, Gatineau and Hull-Aylmer. I supposed ridings like NDG and Rosemont might be competitive if the national campaign goes well, and Laurier-Ste Marie is natural NDP territory once Duceppe retires. Anne Lagacé Dowson and Tom Mulcair have been throwing around “6 to 12 seats”, but I have no idea which seats would be on the higher end of that.

  18. chucker IS a quebecer, and if i recall correctly, has exactly predicted every major political event that had ANYTHING to do with quebec since the 2006 election.

    really, he has.

    (or maybe I just read his blog when I’ve been drinking and my memory is a little fuzzy.)

  19. Ah, thanks, Jeff. Food for thought.

  20. Jenn:

    “Smugly shrill” is waaay better than “post-vocalic apico dental trill[ing].”

    heh, heh

  21. Gas: $1.37/litre in Toronto–a 13 cent increase from yesterday.

  22. Wait, wait, wait, wait, wait!

    Can we all go back for a moment to where kody referred to himself as “the management”? Did Wells approve this new position of authroity?

    ‘Cause if kody’s the new manager of this here hotel, I think it may just lose it’s five star rating.

    :-)

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