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The year-end polling averages for 2012 and what three years of polling looks like.

Separately, Eric Grenier looks at some of the NDP’s numbers in the latest Ipsos survey.

Canadians gave Mulcair a 44 per cent approval rating, with 56 per cent disapproving of his performance as leader of the opposition. That compares favourably with Harper, who managed a 45 per cent approval rating in the same poll. Yet, just 14 per cent of Canadians “strongly” disapprove of Mulcair’s performance, roughly half the number the prime minister registered. Not surprisingly, Mulcair’s best and worst scores were in Quebec and Alberta, with a 64 per cent approval rating in the former and a 69 per cent disapproval in the latter. But Mulcair also scored 68 per cent disapproval in British Columbia, a province in which the New Democrats need to make gains if they are to challenge the Conservatives for government in 2015.

A large proportion of Canadians think the NDP is up to the job. While a majority (55 per cent) disagreed that “the NDP is ready to be Canada’s next government,” the 45 per cent who did agree are more than enough to give the New Democrats a huge majority government.


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  1. “While a majority (55 per cent) disagreed that “the NDP is ready to be Canada’s next government,” the 45 per cent who did agree are more than enough to give the New Democrats a huge majority government”.

    How does believing that a party is ready to govern somehow convert to vote intention? Not to mention, what does “ready to be Canada’s next government” really mean? If an election were held tomorrow, and the NDP somehow won, of course I’d expect them to be “ready” to be Canada’s next government. I don’t expect they’d be particularly competent, but I’d expect them to at least give it a go.

  2. No wonder Stevie boy has been smiling so much lately as these numbers are perfect for us Tories – as long as Justin gets great numbers and Mulcair gets great numbers and Stevie is just slightly ahead that means we Conservatives can keep our base motivated when it comes to getting out the vote (which is our specialty) and forces both Tommy the Beard and Justin the Just Watch Me Kid to duke it out – has anyone else noticed how the NDP are slowly turning their gaze to Justin of late – gotta love it – as it stands Harper gets another majority providing of course he wants to remain as PM – he might not folks! – It wouldn’t surpise me he balances the budget and yanks the chain on a slightly ahead of scheduled election (he’s good at that) maybe citing I am getting tired and want to finsih my hockey book sort of excuse and have a leadership convention – Shelly Glover would be my choice for leader as she intimidates left wign nuts to no end and I find that particualrly endearing :)

    • Keep dreaming about him balancing the budget. He is the worst financial manager since Pierre Trudeau, and has addled the next generation with a legacy of crippling debt.

      • Eliminating the debt will be next to impossible. But it’s very very easy to have Flaherty prepare some documents which he claims say “I fixed the debt.” It’s not without the realm of possibility some suspicious claims might crop up just before an election.

    • Don’t forget the millions of taxpayer dollars of disingenuous crap they will flood the airways with just prior to and during an election – could be could to move a point or two of the inattentive and gullible (diminishing returns though – most are already voting CPC)

      Probably depends mostly on the Liberals. If they go after the NDP they can probably take over official opposition, if they go after the CPC they can probably be the smaller partner in the government.

  3. That’s a surprise to me. Anyone know why Mulcair’s # are so wonky in BC? That must worry the NDP. BC is going to be a vital counter weight to AB in the next go round for someone.

  4. Wait a while until the Native demands will push voters into Harper’s corner – in droves.

    Canadians will become so sick and tired of all these special minorities demands, that support for Harper will rise incrementally.

    Next week we will see the renewed up-rise of yet another interest group, the environmentalists who will try and stop any and all further developments in this country while ordinary Canadians are looking for work while cost for healthcare and education spiral out of control.

    Harper, incrementally, will gather more support.