If he decides to change his mind

by Aaron Wherry

Justin Trudeau, speaking with reporters after QP today.

The first thing is that I do have to, you know, give Bob, you know, a whole lot of credit for a difficult decision that he took on a personal level. He took it because he felt it was in the best interest of both the party and the country and I understand that but I know that we will have less of a leadership race if he doesn’t participate. My own decision around to not go was independent of what Bob decided to do and any decision to reverse my prior decision which is something that I have to do on reflection and in conversation with my family if indeed I’m going to go back on my previously stated ‘no’ will be done independently of whether or not Bob was in or not.




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If he decides to change his mind

  1. A rather verbose way of saying. “Maybe. We’ll see.”

    • …or he could have said instead “Just watch me”

  2. Now I have mixed feelings about his running for leader. I think uniting the center left is a higher priority than having a highly charismatic but relatively inexperienced leader. If only the remnants of the Liberal machine could suck it up and join with the NDP under Mulcair’s leadership so as to facilitate speedy consolidation I feel confident the Cons would be soundly defeated at the first opportunity. The sorting out of the rest can wait till then.

    • Maybe not even necessary to unite the centre-left to crush the conservatives. If the NDP and Libs both carve out a healthy chunk of the electorate, they could squeeze the Cons down below 30%. Remember, there are lots of centre-right leaning Libs that might otherwise vote Con if they only have 2 choices, and a young charismatic leader of the Libs, along with some truly new and unique policy ideas (legalizing pot? internet privacy & civil liberties? rethinking how we fund education?) might win over a whole bunch of people who previously didn’t bother to vote. If a renewed Liberal Party turns non-voters into voters, I would argue that they are doing more for the centre and centre left of the political spectrum then if you take a choice away. Remember, if you eliminate one option, no matter how much it seems to make sense on paper, you have a significant number of people who might just stay home.

      • Also don’t forget about us “centre-right CPC voters, who would vote LPC if they can get their act together, but certainly won’t vote for them if they merge with the NDP”.

        I’m in that group, btw.

  3. Oh my, this is just too funny. He denies, denies, and denies he’s going to run for the leadership. Then the moment Bob drops out, he’s suddenly reconsidering his options…. but it’s got *nothing* to do with Bob dropping out of the race. Riiiiggghhhht.

    I’m not sure which would be more worrisome for Liberals: the fact that Rae doesn’t see any point in running for the leadership; or that Trudeau didn’t think he’d be able to beat Rae, but now considers himself a contender.

    If Trudeau enters the race, he’ll win. And he’ll lead the LPC off a cliff in the next election. And Liberals will be left, yet again, wondering why.

    • “If Trudeau enters the race, he’ll win. And he’ll lead the LPC off a cliff in the next election.”
      Don’t be so sure about that. Like DanFox says, a Liberal party led by Trudeau might just turn many non-voters into voters, especially among the younger generation, a generation who in majority is not leaning towards the Conservatives.

      • Well if the Libs wanna put their money on “might just”, then Trudeau would be great. But what fails to register with most Liberals these days is that the Trudeau name is worse than mud in Western Canada, including young people. With Trudeau as leader, the LPC would not hold a seat west of Ontario after the next election.

        So, can he make up that handful of seats in Quebec and Ontario? Doubtful. After his separatist musings, I think that most in Ontario would be very leery about supporting him. People who may have supported him due to the family name will be questioning his loyalty to a united Canada. It also drives home the fact that he ain’t his daddy.

        In Quebec, I’m not so sure. I’m not the most familiar with the political scene there. But I suspect the Trudeau name wouldn’t be a hit with the separatists. Meanwhile the federalists would be extremely skeptical about his feelings about Quebec sovereignty. Also tough to convince Quebecers to jump ship back to the LPC. The Bloc and the LPC’s supporters seem to have found common ground in the NDP.

        As for motivating non-voters to support him, I just can’t see it. He’s most certainly not Obama. He’s an upper-class downtown Montrealer who’s only real world experience is being a teacher. And it’s tough to play Joe Commonguy when everybody knows your old man was PM. And their first memories of you were when you were growing up at 24 Sussex.

        I could go on, but I feel I’ve made my point. I’d also like to thank you for your thoughtful reply. It’s a breath of fresh air around here.

  4. I swore off this abysmal Disqus platform weeks ago but can’t resist a comment on this one:

    Watch Con senior strategists, key talking heads, and media shills do whatever they can to promote, encourage, dare, shame, or taunt the proud young Trudeau into running for the Liberal mantle. They need a viable option to the ascendant NDP and to the prospect of a progressive coalition between the NDP and a spent Liberal Party. The Liberals, with a new, young “saviour” would guarantee a divided opposition for at least two more election cycles. And once he’s chosen, the Cons would savage him with their relentlessly poisonous smear campaigns (riding on his famous Daddy’s coattails, dilettante politician, patrician, idealistic but naive, reckless, blah, blah, blah)

    I hope Trudeau smells a rat and decides to spend some quality time with his young family for the next decade, rather than step into the political nightmare the Cons would create for him.

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