Where the votes went

Alice Funke looks at how 2008 voters moved in 2011.

The NDP was able to win over a greater percentage of vote switchers in 2011 than any other party did, claiming 33% of 2008 Green support, 24% of 2008 Liberal voters, and 5.3% of the 2008 Conservatives. In addition, they held some 80% of their own vote from the previous election.

The Conservatives held an impressive 87% of their 2008 vote outside Québec in 2011, and added around 10% from each of the Green, Liberal and NDP 2008 electorates.

Those who abstained in 2008 voted 23-18-14 for the NDP, Conservatives and Liberals respectively in 2011. Newly eligible voters (young people, recent immigrants) voted 36-20-12 for the NDP, Conservatives and Liberals.




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Where the votes went

  1. Hi Aaron, Thanks for the very kind citation as usual. Just a note that the figures you quoted above were from the “Rest of Canada” calculations (i.e., excluding Québec).

    The comparable Québec numbers were, for abstainers: 21 – 15 – 7.5 – 7.5 (NDP-Cons-Lib-BQ), and for new entrants: 65-6-0-6.

    Sorry I missed this until now.

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