majority government
Stephen Harper’s majority rules
In the session ahead, the PM needs to remember that his mandate ‘has a big old fence around it’
In conversation: Stephen Harper
The PM on how he sees Canada’s role in the world and where he wants to take the country
Want Harper to be less of a dictator? Give him a majority.
Five years of tory minority rule have been a drunkard’s walk of vote-buying and bed-feathering
‘The next election will be a choice between a coalition government … or a stable Conservative majority government’
Fewer respondents than four years ago are completely comfortable with the prospect of a Conservative majority government—34% in 2007, 26% in 2011. If you combine the currently comfortable with the slightly comfortable and the uncomfortable with slightly uncomfortable, you get a tie—48% to 47.9%.
The mathematics of majority
I think this is quite the most fascinating thing I’ve come across for a long time. It was brought to my attention by a reader of the Small Dead Animals blog, where a blogger named Marcus Vitruvius (proprietor of the Sagacious Iconoclast) sometimes guest-posts. It’s called Vitruvius’s Experimental Election Predictor, and offers a quick and dirty way of reckoning whether the Tories are likely to win a majority.
The formula is as follows:
Ve=(C–L)*(C+L)/100