opinion poll

Has Trudeau reached a tipping point? A new poll shows his support slipping.

An Abacus Data survey finds the PM’s popularity and Liberal support dipping, with the blame falling squarely on the disastrous trip to India

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Reality check

Harris-Decima checks in with the electorate.

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A Senate if we must, but must we have a Senate?

It is obviously noteworthy that the Canadian public largely supports Stephen Harper’s proposed reforms to the Senate, but when the options are put side-by-side, the Canadian public is still relatively split.

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Projecting the projections

Paul Adams considers the seat projection predicament.

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From the magazine

Here is the magazine piece on Michael Ignatieff’s current situation. Here is the math.

Statistical probabilities

The last three changes in government were not obviously foretold by publicly available polling data

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We remain torn over hypothetical options

When Nanos polled a thousand Canadians in January 2009 about what should happen if that year’s federal budget was defeated, 49% favoured an election, 42% said the opposition should be invited to form a coalition.

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The more you know

Abacus asks Canadians how they feel about the corporate tax rate.