Pricing in a Conservative win - Macleans.ca

Pricing in a Conservative win

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Price of Contracts on Conservatives to Win Most Seats in Next Federal Election at intrade.com
Price of contracts on “Conservatives to Win Most Seats in Next Federal Election” at intrade.com.

Price of Liberal contracts (latest closing price = 34.0) moves more or less inversely to Conservatives’, as no other party has a reasonable shot at winning a plurality.

Intrade has not as yet set up a market on majority versus minority for either party.

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