WASHINGTON – The number of Americans seeking unemployment benefits dropped 9,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 323,000, near the lowest level since June 2008. The figure shows employers are laying off fewer and fewer workers, an encouraging sign one day before the government will issue its August jobs report.
Weekly applications are just 1,000 above a five-year low reached last month, the Labor Department said Thursday. The four week average, a less volatile measure, declined 3,000 to 328,500. That’s the lowest point since October 2007.
“Firms continue to be less concerned about cutting labour costs and may be more comfortable with raising them,” said Jonathan Basile, an economist at Credit Suisse.
Applications are a proxy for layoffs. They have fallen 5 per cent in the past two months, raising hopes that hiring could pick up.
Economists forecast that the August jobs report will show employers added 177,000 jobs, up from 162,000 in July. The unemployment rate is expected to remain 7.4 per cent.
Still, the unemployment rate is well above the 5 per cent to 6 per cent range associated with a normal economy. In addition, most of the net job growth this year is due to fewer layoffs rather than strong hiring.
Net job growth is the number of people hired minus the number who lose or quit jobs. When companies are laying off few workers, it doesn’t take many hires to create a solid net job gain.
Nearly 4.4 million Americans received unemployment benefits in the week that ended Aug. 17, the latest period for which figures are available. That’s about 70,000 fewer than the previous week. A year ago, 5.5 million Americans were receiving benefits.
Many of the jobs created in recent months have been lower-paying, part-time positions in industries such as hotels, restaurants and retail. Higher-paying industries such as manufacturing and construction have mostly shed jobs since spring.
But some signs indicate that hiring in both industries could pick up. A private survey released Tuesday showed that factory activity grew last month at the fastest pace in more than two years. And manufacturers added jobs, though at a slower pace than in the previous month.
Spending on U.S. construction projects, meanwhile, rose to its highest level in more than four years in July. It was spurred by strength in both housing and commercial building.
The economy expanded at a 2.5 per cent annual rate in the April-June quarter, a modest pace but much faster than the 1.1 per cent annual rate in the first three months of the year. Home construction and business investment spending were two key drivers of growth.
Many economists think growth is slowing to about a 2 per cent annual rate in the current July-September quarter.