Ottawa

'The next election will be a choice between a coalition government ... or a stable Conservative majority government'

Fewer respondents than four years ago are completely comfortable with the prospect of a Conservative majority government—34% in 2007, 26% in 2011. If you combine the currently comfortable with the slightly comfortable and the uncomfortable with slightly uncomfortable, you get a tie—48% to 47.9%.

Add those figures as you see fit to previous attempts to poll Canadians on hypothetical options.

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