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BTC: Way beyond the Commons


 

We’re out of Ottawa and on the road this week, following the Prime Minister and the leader of the opposition as they respectively tour various points in Southwestern Ontario. Tonight and tomorrow, it’s Mississauga, Hamilton and Kitchener with Mr. Harper. Later in the week we’ll see Oakville and Guelph with Mr. Dion.

Consider it a warm-up to what at least Gerry Byrne thinks is coming this fall.

Whimsical anecdotes from our travels to follow.


 

BTC: Way beyond the Commons

  1. I am curious what Frank Valeriote makes of the Dion visit to Guelph. The young liberals were here a couple of weeks ago, and did campaigning for him, and now Dion is coming. All of which deducts from what Valeriote himself can spend on his campaign.

    I wonder if someone will have a thorough look at Valeriote’s spent/costs filing with Elections Canada if he happens to win, which doesn’t look likely at the moment.

  2. “I wonder if someone will have a thorough look at Valeriote’s spent/costs filing with Elections Canada if he happens to win, which doesn’t look likely at the moment.”

    Why do you say that? Do you have access to some poll numbers? I’ve been looking for those to no avail. If you have them, can you share?

  3. JWL – Not necessarily – remember, the party has a budget as well, so it may be incurring the cost instead of the candidate. The same would apply to the Conservative party, of course, should it send any cabinet ministers out to campaign, as well as the NDP.

    I tell you, I’ve learned more about the minutaeia of election law in the last year than in all the years up til then combined.

  4. Thanks for clarification, Kady. I was wondering how Valeriote was going to be able to afford to do any campaigning at all.

    Boudica Sorry, no poll numbers. I live in Guelph and am just going by general impressions. The Libs are seen as more of a left party at the moment and NDP and Greens are both running ‘star’ candidates. I also have been looking at http://www.hubdub.com/m12784/Who_will_win_the_Canadian_byelection_in_Guelph
    and Valeriote has not been doing well.

  5. uh… jwl? You are relying on a website called “the news prediction game” to assess who is likely to win?!?

  6. Boudica I am not relying on anything, I am just saying there is lots of enthusiasm for King and Nagy and Valeriote is being squeezed.

    I look at the market sites because they are good at forecasting what’s going to happen though I think the one I linked to does not have enough people involved.

    The link below is an article published today about how accurate these type of markets are. It’s all about the wisdom of crowds.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?xml=/earth/2008/08/18/scibetting118.xml

  7. No doubt that Valierote is bleeding towards the Greens and the Dems. Someone from the LPC is going to have to start preaching about strategic voting sooner or later as Guelph is a perfect example of where this needs to happen.

  8. “Someone from the LPC is going to have to start preaching about strategic voting sooner or later…”

    The Liberals are going to find that they’ll have to practice what they preach before left-of-centre voters support them for a while. Martin used that in 2004 and where did it get the left vote? Chretien-Martin governed from the centre-right as you’ll recall

  9. Somehow I believe that Green and NDP supporters would much prefer a Martin-Chretien centre-right govt than a Harper government. Nothing terrifies the Left more than a majority Reformist government. I have shivers running up and down my spine just typing those words

    In any case, Dion is about as left a leader the LPC is ever likely to get. If anything, it is the NDP that has swung to the center.

  10. I agree with you on Dion, but Canadians haven’t warmed up to him. Even Lizzie May, initially a fan, has cooled to him.

    “Nothing terrifies the Left…”

    Sorry boudica, the scary meme was tried in 2004 and 2006. The scare mongering made Martin look like a fool. The Liberals are going to have to earn their votes. They can’t take them for granted anymore, like they have since 1997. That’s why they’ve been mired at 30% since last election. You heard about Ipsos-Reid today I presume -Cons 36 Libs 30 – same as January 2006.

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