The Globe and Mail reports today that support for the federal Conservatives has slipped by as much as 10 percentage points since Election Day, placing the governing party in a tie with the opposition NDP. The Environics poll, conducted earlier this month, shows that, while 30 per cent of Canadians would vote for the Tories in the next federal election, an equally large share would support the NDP. The polling firm said the NDP has not come out on top in a survey of federal voting intentions since the 1980s.
The poll is sure to be mentioned this weekend during the NDP’s national convention in Toronto, where the party is set to elect a new leader. The numbers may also help cement the victory of Thomas Mulcair, currently the frontrunner. Mulcair is seen as the best candidate to maintain popular support in Quebec, where the party scored an unprecedented victory last May. The Environics poll, in fact, shows the Bloc Quebecois re-gaining strength in the province, trailing the NDP by just four points—something that might strengthen the case for a Mulcair leadership.