The polls show a three-way race with no breakout leader. But is that the important story? Beneath the numbers, the regional breakdowns in Ontario, Quebec and B.C. may tell a more accurate tale of who really has a path to victory in the campaign. David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data, breaks down the new poll numbers, explains why the change wave is so critical, and considers which issues might become the ballot-box question. More than halfway through the campaign, what should you be watching?