Polls

Climate action protestors gather in front of the PMO office in Ottawa, Nov. 22, 2021. (Sean Kilpatrick/The Canadian Press)

On energy and climate, politics is the problem

Nik Nanos and Brendan Frank: Climate disasters are piling up, and the public discourse around climate is getting more ambitious

O'Toole and his wife, Rebecca, feed some llamas at a farm in Brantford, Ont., on Aug. 25, 2021 (Ryan Remiorz/CP)

Federal election 2021: What the polls are saying at the halfway mark

Stephen Maher talks to Philippe J. Fournier about the challenge now facing O’Toole, the big Quebec factor, and why the Liberals might have one more minority in them

Conservative supporters react to polling results at party headquarters in Regina on Oct. 21, 2019 (Jeff McIntosh/CP)

338Canada: What did the polls say in 2019?

Philippe J. Fournier: In their final federal polls of the 2019 campaign, Canada’s pollsters did very well. The miss was largely in underestimating the Conservatives.

(Sean Kilpatrick/CP)

Seat cluster poll: The Liberals consolidate their advantage

Analysis by Innovative Research Group shows key regional advantages for the Liberals. They might explain why Trudeau thinks he can win a majority

(Paul Chiasson/CP)

Friendly or cold? Careless or practical? What voters see in the federal parties

Innovative Research asked Canadians which human attributes describe the major parties. It’s a revealing look at what each does well—or needs to do better.

A person walks towards a polling station on election day in Ottawa on Oct. 21, 2019 (Justin Tang/CP)

Federal election 2021: Know your pollsters

Philippe J. Fournier: A detailed look at where the country’s top 10 polling firms land when measuring federal polls‚ and which way they tend to skew

Biden listens at a meeting last week with small business owners in Pennsylvania, a key swing state (Matt Slocum/AP)

338Canada U.S. presidential race: Biden leads but Trump is within striking distance

Philippe J. Fournier: It’s been 30 years since an incumbent has faced such poor numbers, but the electoral college still works in Trump’s favour

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau meets with US President Donald Trump in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, DC on Monday, Feb. 13, 2017. (Sean Kilpatrick/CP)

Buy Alberta? Prepare for a civil war? What Americans think in the age of Trump.

A new poll of U.S. attitudes points to some surprising views about the border and America’s own troubled place in the world

Trudeau arrives on Parliament Hill on June 9, 2020 (David Kawai/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

338Canada federal projection: Liberal gains at the Conservatives’ expense

Philippe J. Fournier: The Liberals have picked up the most support lately in B.C., and widened their lead in Ontario. The Tories remain out of contention.

Quebec police officers randomly stop traffic entering Quebec from Ottawa on Wednesday; the province has also banned non-essential travel in some places within its borders. (Sean Kilpatrick/CP)

Quebec leads in optimism even as its coronavirus case numbers soar: new poll

Premier François Legault enjoys the same level of support as his wildly popular chief medical officer of health, the survey suggests

Leader of the Government in the House of Commons Pablo Rodriguez rises to ask for an extension of the sitting day in the House of Commons Parliament in the House of Commons Tuesday March 24, 2020 in Ottawa.

Canadians have more faith in government to handle coronavirus than Americans and Brits—and less fear for their lives

A new survey finds optimism among Canadians about how the pandemic will play out. But our U.S. and U.K. cousins appear more generous and helpful in the face of the crisis.

How accurate are Canadian polls?

Philippe J. Fournier: A 338Canada analysis shows the hits and misses of the country’s top polling firms—and the importance of polling aggregates